Rivers, storage, rainfall, the summer deficit and flood risk
PLN 401 Planning Studio VII · Environment Group · October 2026
Study area
Three provinces, one water system
0km² · 33 districts
0mm of rain and snow a year
0km of rivers and streams
0km³ stored in lakes and dams
0km² flooded in a 100-year flood
0months a year with a water deficit
Chapter 1
Where water flows
Rivers, stream order and river basins
01
River network
Rivers drain from the mountains to two seas
0km
m of river per km² · up to m³/s on the lower Ceyhan
HydroRIVERS (HydroSHEDS) · stream order (Strahler) · Map H01
Stream order
Half of the network is headwater streams
53% of the length
Order 1: streams with no tributaries
↑ ↓ change the order
HydroRIVERS · Strahler order: 1 = smallest headwater, 6 = main river
Drainage basins
The terrain sets the watersheds
Copernicus DEM GLO-30 · drainage basins from the elevation model
River basins
The Ceyhan drains two thirds of the region
% drains to the Asi
a transboundary river that reaches Hatay from Syria and the sea at Samandağ
Official river basins of Türkiye (DSİ) · HydroRIVERS · Map H02 · arrows show flow direction
Drainage density
Wet slopes carry the densest networks
HydroRIVERS · metres of river per km² of district
Chapter 2
Where water is stored
Reservoirs, lakes, wetlands and irrigated land
02
Lakes and reservoirs
Almost all stored water sits behind dams
0water bodies
0km² of water
0km³ stored
HydroLAKES (HydroSHEDS) · water bodies larger than about 10 ha · Map H03
The Ceyhan dam chain
Three dams on one river hold % of the stored water
HydroLAKES · elevation and volume of each reservoir · schematic long profile, not to scale horizontally
Land cover
Open water and wetland are rare
0km²
water bodies, water courses and marshes · about 1% of the region
CORINE Land Cover 2018 · Map L10
Irrigation
The plains below the dams are irrigated
0km² irrigated
CORINE Land Cover 2018 · class 212, permanently irrigated land · Map L06
Chapter 3
When water arrives
Precipitation, its season and snow
03
Annual precipitation
Six times more rain on the coast than on the plateau
CHELSA V2.1, 1981–2010 · Map T01
Precipitation through the year
January
0mm, region mean
CHELSA V2.1 monthly climatology, 1981–2010 · one colour scale for all months · Map C02
Precipitation through the year · Map C02
CHELSA V2.1 monthly climatology, 1981–2010 · same colour scale as the previous slide
Seasonality
Three quarters of the year's water falls October to March
0% Oct–Mar
CHELSA V2.1, 1981–2010 · Map C05
Main towns
Every town shares the same dry summer
CHELSA V2.1, 1981–2010 · monthly precipitation at the town centres · ordered from the coast to the plateau
Snow
Snow above m feeds spring rivers
0km² with 30+ snow days
CHELSA V2.1 snow-cover days, 1981–2010 · Map C06
Chapter 4
Where the summer runs short
Evaporative demand, aridity and the water deficit
04
Monthly water balance
For 7 months the air demands more water than falls
0mm summer shortfall
0mm winter surplus
PrecipitationEvaporative demand (PET)
CHELSA V2.1, 1981–2010 · PET: potential evapotranspiration · ↑ ↓ change the province
Evaporative demand
The air could evaporate more than all the rain
0mm PET a year
0mm precipitation
CHELSA V2.1, 1981–2010 · Map C08
Summer humidity
Dry inland air pulls water from soil and crops
0% humidity in July
CHELSA V2.1, 1981–2010 · Map C10
Aridity
Only the crests have water to spare
0aridity index
precipitation ÷ evaporative demand · below 1 means a yearly deficit
CHELSA V2.1, 1981–2010 · Map C09
Climatic water deficit, 1991–2023
The deficit is getting larger
0mm more since 2007
TerraClimate (Abatzoglou et al., 2018) · Map T06
Drought stress
A third of the region is under drought stress
0% of the region
water deficit of 800 mm or more a year
TerraClimate, 1991–2023 · Map R12
Chapter 5
When water is too much
River floods, the Amik Plain and the low coast
05
River flood · 1 in 100 years
Floods spread over the flat plains
0km² under water
JRC Global River Flood Hazard Maps (Baugh et al., 2024) · Map R07
Flood frequency
The same land floods again and again
0km² · 10-year flood
JRC Global River Flood Hazard Maps · return periods 10–500 years · Map R08 · ↑ ↓ change the return period
Amik Plain · zoom
The old lakebed fills again
0km² · 10-year flood
JRC Global River Flood Hazard Maps · Antakya, Kırıkhan, Reyhanlı and Kumlu · Map R09 · ↑ ↓ change the return period
Low-lying coast · zoom
Land within reach of the sea
0km² below 1 m
0 km² of it built up
Copernicus DEM GLO-30 · GHSL built-up surface · Map R10 · ↑ ↓ raise the level
Water hazards compared
Each province faces a different water problem
Share of each province's area · flood: 100-year flood covers 10% or more of a 1 km cell · drought: deficit 800 mm or more · heat: July maximum 33 °C or more
District explorer
Annual precipitation
All 33 districts · ↑ ↓ change the indicator · hover a district for its value